Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.181185 0.209954 0.241815 0.279724 0.323609 0.372831 0.432258
2025-07-20 0.138609 0.177804 0.225779 0.288844 0.369636 0.469778 0.603534
2025-07-27 0.115911 0.159497 0.216656 0.297160 0.407780 0.554712 0.765206
2025-08-03 0.098718 0.143834 0.206423 0.299678 0.435362 0.626056 0.915349
2025-08-10 0.084299 0.129052 0.194231 0.296192 0.452079 0.682149 1.048953
2025-08-17 0.071587 0.114538 0.179868 0.286613 0.457201 0.720221 1.158621
2025-08-24 0.065031 0.108338 0.176880 0.293427 0.487391 0.798678 1.339118
2025-08-31 0.058463 0.101102 0.171108 0.294619 0.508032 0.863468 1.504305
2025-09-07 0.053453 0.095722 0.167544 0.298708 0.533444 0.938199 1.694228
2025-09-14 0.047530 0.087954 0.158891 0.292711 0.540241 0.981216 1.832782
2025-09-21 0.042980 0.082049 0.152740 0.290266 0.552757 1.035112 1.996535
2025-09-28 0.039626 0.077927 0.149282 0.292246 0.573415 1.105627 2.199007
2025-10-05 0.038022 0.077035 0.151878 0.306326 0.619356 1.229765 2.522500
2025-10-12 0.036033 0.075152 0.152366 0.316354 0.658587 1.345543 2.844098
2025-10-19 0.034132 0.073197 0.152445 0.325466 0.696860 1.463393 3.183863
2025-10-26 0.031792 0.070029 0.149667 0.328224 0.722022 1.556866 3.482774
2025-11-02 0.029106 0.065789 0.144150 0.324405 0.732465 1.620183 3.722987
2025-11-09 0.026158 0.060616 0.136047 0.313908 0.726827 1.647804 3.885893
2025-11-16 0.024911 0.059149 0.135918 0.321375 0.762698 1.771388 4.284872
2025-11-23 0.023319 0.056691 0.133276 0.322681 0.784318 1.864733 4.623189
2025-11-30 0.022083 0.054934 0.132045 0.327162 0.813935 1.979776 5.027694
2025-12-07 0.020256 0.051522 0.126534 0.320591 0.815775 2.028574 5.272902
2025-12-14 0.018829 0.048946 0.122763 0.317912 0.827009 2.101463 5.588253